Market Commentary

How to Navigate a Market at All-Time Highs

September 18th, 2018
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Economic data is arguably firing on all cylinders:

For the first time in ten years, the GDP growth rate is higher than the unemployment rate1;
The August edition of the Institute for Supply Management manufacturing index showed the strongest expansion of manufacturing activity since May 2004;[…]

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Should You Brace for Volatility in September?

September 10th, 2018
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Emerging Markets (EM) have taken a beating recently while history shows that September could be a volatile month. Read on to get the details…
Emerging Markets Currencies in Trouble? Emerging Markets (EM) have taken a beating lately. If one considers EEM a good barometer for Emerging Markets equity performance,[…]

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What Will Cause the Next Market Crisis?

September 3rd, 2018
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The next big market crisis will be caused by….
The short answer, unfortunately, is that no one can say for sure. But, we do have insight and a strong opinion about what will not cause the next crisis: toxic subprime loans and over-leveraged banks,[…]

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Corporate Earnings vs. Tariffs – Which Will Win Out?

September 1st, 2018
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As we enter a holiday weekend, good news seems to be a common theme with corporate profit earnings soaring and the GDP estimate for Q2 stronger than expected. Read on to get all the details…
Corporate Profits Soaring — the Commerce Department published its latest measure of corporate profits in the second quarter,[…]

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The Yield Curve’s Message to Investors

August 27th, 2018
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The yield curve is one of the most coveted of economic indicators, and for good reason – in my view, it can provide investors with useful insights about how the economy, stocks, and bonds could perform going forward. And at the end of the day,[…]

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What Does the Future Hold for This Bull Market?

August 25th, 2018
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The middle of last week marked the longest bull market in history, while we saw some indications of a NAFTA Deal and more tariffs. Read on to get the details…
Do We Have a NAFTA Deal? There were some indications this week that the United States may be in the final stages of a revamped NAFTA agreement with Mexico,[…]

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How Midterm Elections Affect Stocks

August 12th, 2018
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Stocks are generally not influenced by a single factor. It is usually a multitude of factors pushing and pulling prices at any given time. Earnings may serve as tailwinds breathing positive momentum into stocks, while tariffs could do the opposite and serve as headwinds.[…]

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Earnings Are Strong, But Could This Development Be Cause for Concern?

August 11th, 2018
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Earnings are strong but could downward revisions be a reason for worry? Read on to get the details…
Earnings are Strong, But There May be a Cause for Concern – we now have Q2 results from 381 S&P 500 companies, and the numbers are robust.[…]

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What These Market Meltdowns Can Teach You About Strategy!

August 5th, 2018
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Not to be too alarming, but we strongly believe that a bear market is headed our way.
We do not think it will happen in the next six or even twelve months, and no one can say for sure when it will occur or what will actually cause it.[…]

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Could This Be the Catalyst for the Next Recession?

July 30th, 2018
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It may feel strange reading this, but it’s been nearly a decade since the United States has endured a recession.1 Economic growth rates have notably been modest throughout this expansion, and corporate earnings endured a whole year (2015) of negative growth.[…]

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