Reviewing a timeline of the Federal Reserve’s statements and
actions – and comparing them to equity market action – makes it pretty clear to
me that the Fed is the single most important factor for stocks in 2019.
Long-time readers know that for Zacks Investment Management,[…]Read More
The broad outlook for U.S. corporate earnings is getting
weaker, seemingly by the day.
2019, total S&P 500 earnings are expected to decline -3.6% from the same
period last year, though on +4.8% higher revenues. Growth is expected to be
negative for 9 of the 16 Zacks sectors,[…]
The 10-Year Old Bull
It’s hard to
believe that 10 years have passed since the end of the “Great Recession.” But
it was on March 9, 2009, that the 2008 bear market finally ended. For the
steely-nerved investors who were invested in equities at the time,[…]
The S&P 500 spent a single day in bear
market territory on Christmas Eve, but since then the index has rewarded
investors who didn’t panic. As I write this column, the S&P 500 has
steadily rallied over +18% 1 off the bottom,[…]
Is the U.S. Economy
Showing Real Signs of Weakness?
I’ve noticed recently that many economists and ‘experts’ appear to be resetting their expectations for when the U.S. economy might enter a recession. Many now seem to believe it could happen as soon as this year,[…]Read More
We’re only in the second month of the new year, but already we’ve seen many investors experience the tragic cost of market volatility.
According to Lipper data, investors moved a staggering $190 billion into money market funds (cash) in Q4 2018.[…]
Equity markets received some relief in late January, when the Federal Reserve decidedly shifted tone on interest rate increases for 2019. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that “the case for raising rates has weakened somewhat,”1 adding that the Fed is increasingly concerned about the effects of policy-related headwinds from trade disputes,[…]Read More
Investor sentiment has made a notable shift over the last two years or so, and the pendulum swing may actually help explain why 2018 was such a disappointing year for stocks.
Flashback to 2017 – the buzzword when describing the global economy was “synchronized global recovery,” referring to the widely-held expectation that all developed economies were (finally) expected to grow convincingly and in unison.[…]
The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates at the December 18-19 meeting last year was a source of contention for the equity markets. In fact, just about every rate increase last year (four total) was met with short-term volatility – a reckoning that the era of easy money was officially coming to a close.[…]Read More
The sharp and sudden selling pressure that characterized equity market action in December appears to have subsided in the new year – at least for now. In examining the causes of downside volatility, the most commonly cited reasons were fears of an escalated trade war with China,[…]Read More