Market Commentary

5 Important Midterm Election Takeaways

November 19th, 2018
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It comes as a great relief to many – including the markets – that the midterm elections are almost over. I say ‘almost over’ because there are still key races in states like Florida and Georgia being contested, and there are still a few House races yet to be called.[…]

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Do You Know What Recession Indicator is on the Rise?

November 12th, 2018
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The signs are everywhere – inflation is on the move. The economy has been humming on the heels of the tax cut, labor markets are tight, and the consumer remains optimistic. I think these factors, combined with pricing pressures from wages and tariffs,[…]

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3 Factors that Could Shape the Markets in Q4

November 5th, 2018
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Q4 has gotten off to a rocky start. With the benefit of hindsight, we can now see that the downside volatility actually started on October 3, when the S&P 500 traded near its all-time high for the last time in October.[…]

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Is the Fed Really “Going Crazy?”

October 29th, 2018
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Recent remarks by President Trump make one thing clear: he is not a fan of higher interest rates. In an impromptu press conference after walking off Air Force One on October 10th, the president remarked that the “Fed has gone crazy,” adding that he believed it was a mistake to tighten monetary policy,[…]

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Look for Risks that No One is Talking About

October 23rd, 2018
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When the U.S. and global equity markets took a steep dive in the week of October 8, the headlines were a chorus of replayed fears: Interest rates are moving higher too fast! The Fed is in danger of making a major policy error![…]

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How to React to Recent Volatility

October 15th, 2018
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The S&P 500 and global markets took a steep drop significantly this week, declining -3.26% and -2.41% (ACWX), respectively on Wednesday alone. Stocks were led down by the technology giants, with the Nasdaq falling an even further -4.08%.1 Many clients and readers are concerned,[…]

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3 Risks to Rising Stock Prices

October 8th, 2018
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The S&P 500 notched a stout +7.2% gain in the third quarter, in spite of bubbling trade disputes, rising interest rates, and concerns about currency and debt in the Emerging Markets. Q3 marked the S&P 500’s best quarterly performance in nearly five years (Q4 2013).[…]

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Is There a Tipping Point to This Trade War?

October 2nd, 2018
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The trade dispute between the U.S. and China grew last week, as the Trump administration enacted 10% tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese imports and China retaliated immediately with 10% tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. goods. For those keeping score out there,[…]

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What You Can Learn from the Financial Crisis 10 Years Later

September 24th, 2018
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10 years ago last week, on September 15, 2008, Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. At the time, few investors, analysts, or investment professionals fully understood the extent of damage the Lehman event would ultimately cause.
The S&P 500 fell by -28% in just 22 days,[…]

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How to Navigate a Market at All-Time Highs

September 18th, 2018
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Economic data is arguably firing on all cylinders:

For the first time in ten years, the GDP growth rate is higher than the unemployment rate1;
The August edition of the Institute for Supply Management manufacturing index showed the strongest expansion of manufacturing activity since May 2004;[…]

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