It started with concerns over U.S. bank exposure to energy loans and now it has spread like wildfire to Europe. The issue – falling commodities prices. Concern has escalated as investors start to price-in the possibility, or likelihood, that a v-shaped recovery in oil prices is not likely in the foreseeable future.[…]Read More
Market volatility has been ruthless of late and I fully understand the toll it can take on the investor psyche. Even veteran investors will scratch their heads wondering if, maybe, it’s different this time. Ah, but wait! Don’t forget that old John Templeton quote about the four most expensive words in the English language: “This time it’s different.”
Quotes aside,[…]Read More
Chicago, Illinois writes…
I’m hearing some pundits say “the Bear is here, get out of the market.” I’m worried. What is your advice?
Many thanks for asking Chicago – we’re getting this question multiple times a day now. What the above suggests is that you become a ‘market timer.’ Beware the perils of market timing – […]
Crude oil’s continuing downward spiral has left many puzzled, some unemployed and others bankrupt. As the WTI (oil pricing benchmark) plunges to below $30 per barrel, concerns about the Energy sector intensify, especially as there appears to be no clear indication of a rebound in the near term.[…]Read More
Welcome to the weekend!
We continued to see the market move downward this week in context of more volatility. Know there is much more to the story than what we read in mainstream media headlines. The macro-outlook is good with real GDP growing,[…]
Amidst the hysteria accompanying global market uncertainties, Japan’s announcement of a new monetary weapon is yet another surprise markets have to absorb. On Friday, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) unveiled its plan to lower interest rates to a negative -0.1% on excess bank reserves.[…]Read More
The economics of a stronger dollar offer mixed blessings. On one hand, a stronger dollar means that foreign goods are less expensive which benefits consumers and, for example, travelers who visit countries with weakened currencies. It can help companies too, particularly those that import a great deal of their production and raw materials used for building products and hardware.[…]Read More
Regardless of whether you are retired or thinking about it, understanding Sequence Return Risk could be critical. The concept becomes especially important as markets turn volatile, as they are now. Here’s a run-down on Sequence Return Risk so you can prepare as needed…[…]Read More
Earnings Down, but Not Out – Q4 2015 results are in from 173 S&P 500 members, who combine for nearly half of the index’s total market capitalization. It’s been a bumpy start to say the least – total earnings for these reported companies are down -1.6% from the same period last year on -1.9% lower revenues (with 72.8% beating EPS estimates and 47.4% coming ahead of revenue estimates).[…]Read More
We think it’s high time someone put their foot down and called the collapse in oil prices what it really is: a net positive! I find it interesting that, when oil prices are high, the narrative is negative. But, when prices fall precipitously and energy becomes cheaper that’s also a bad thing![…]Read More